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Cake day: July 29th, 2023

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  • If that were the case, Iran would have claimed the air kills which afaik they haven’t.

    Iran did claim to shoot down an F-35 last year which was an obvious lie, so I wouldn’t really put too much weight on this claim.

    That being said, an F-15 is more plausible of a target against some hidden SAMs. Even Iraq shot down a prrtty decent handful of aircraft during the gulf war, despite losing their airforce in a matter of hours just because they had a crap ton of SAMs on the ground.


  • Not aimed at you specifically, but Iran isn’t attacking these countries because of their political or religous dogma.

    They’re attacking them because they are all valuable oil vassal states of the USA. None of them are nominally neutral because they all have several US staging bases, supplies, and armaments that are only there to protect US interests.

    It would be pointless for Iran to expend its entire ammo stock to take out one carrier strike group when the US can just deploy 4 more. They would fall into a similar trap as Ukraine and enter a scenario where they will ultimately lose.

    Nothing is more damaging to the US in this war than money, and the fastest way to cost them money is to effectively delete the oil trade in the region, which means they’ll hit a ton of undefended infrastructure.






  • Yeah “accidentally missed” an INS + GPS + TV + Laser guided 21st century bomb.

    Just like how they “accidentally” bombed practically every Hospital in Gaza.

    Or the time that the US “accidentally” bombed the Chinese embassy.

    Even the Indian Air Force only missed their target by 50m meters back in 2019 with their crappy Israeli guide bombs. 600m is an order of magnitude larger.

    Before it was even run as “accidentally missed”, people like you were claiming the IRGC had a missile launcher nearby that failed to launch properly.

    Because again, 21st century ballistic missiles just automatically explode upon hitting the ground in the event of a misfire. There’s just no such thing as failsafes and fuses.

    If I dropped a WWII VT shell, it would just explode immediately right.





  • I think the “cooler heads” actually delayed this for a couple of months. Netanyahu kept showing up because of that, and it was probably him who eventually coaxed Trump into it.

    If the pentagon thought a regime change was possible, they would have capitlized on the protests.

    Instead they waited until after it fizzled out, and then reinforced Iran’s regime by killing their leader and bombing a school full of children.

    That’s highly indicative of Israel’s method of operation, not necessarily the US.




  • The problem is the severe disconnect between Iran diaspora and english speaking Iranians online.

    I know the same Iranian general group that you know that are all happy about the US intervention, but the reality is that it represents quite a small percentage of the total number of Iranians.

    People think the Ayatolllah is widely unpopular in Iran, but he is still very well supported which is why many analysts think this airstrike method won’t cause a successful regime change.

    You just won’t meet those people because they live in Iran and don’t post on popular social media, and definitely not in english.

    Its the same for a lot of countries like Pakistan. I can personally guarantee you that the average post on r/Pakistan is not representative of the average Pakistani.