Are we believing in polls again after they have been consistently wrong for the last decade? Almost as stupid as believing polls a year and a half out from a general election means something, like reading tea leaves at this stage. The incumbent is never popular at this point, extreme views at this point tend to temper at the polling booth, especially since the Spanish economy is doing well.
The Spanish public are still massively anti Israel due to all of their genocide and everything.
When have the polls been wrong? The polls have been pretty damn accurate every time. Any electoral differences within the margin of error or due to some institutional technicalities. You’ll need something truly extreme to shift the trends, otherwise this is the likely outcome. The only instance of this that I remember is the Canadian conservatives were poised to win a landslides because Canada universally hated Trudeau, but then Trump threatened to invade and annex Canada and that caused a change in the voters. I don’t forsee something like that happening in Spain.
Are we believing in polls again after they have been consistently wrong for the last decade? Almost as stupid as believing polls a year and a half out from a general election means something, like reading tea leaves at this stage. The incumbent is never popular at this point, extreme views at this point tend to temper at the polling booth, especially since the Spanish economy is doing well.
The Spanish public are still massively anti Israel due to all of their genocide and everything.
When have the polls been wrong? The polls have been pretty damn accurate every time. Any electoral differences within the margin of error or due to some institutional technicalities. You’ll need something truly extreme to shift the trends, otherwise this is the likely outcome. The only instance of this that I remember is the Canadian conservatives were poised to win a landslides because Canada universally hated Trudeau, but then Trump threatened to invade and annex Canada and that caused a change in the voters. I don’t forsee something like that happening in Spain.
and they’re massively against the US, especially as Trump has tried to attack Spain