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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: January 24th, 2025

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  • Every time you consider that not holding your opinion is “objectively stupid” you should stop a moment to reflect what those words mean.

    Thanks, but I’m past elementary school and not here to explain the difference between calling out a direct opposition between stated goals and actual actions, vs “my opinion is the only objective truth”.

    Your whole post is incredibly naive.

    My European perspective is that defending corporate right as an alternative to fascism is an acceptable emergency measure while there are big credible efforts for large scale reforms to at least have a real left voting option, but it’s not by far a solution to the problem. And if you want that common platform to be the democrats, they will have to change a lot.

    Like centuries of bipartisanism will be magically turned into a Euro-style multiparty coalition system in 3.8 years.

    It’s just fucking absurd that people can be beat up and tortured physically and psychologically but I’m being asked to be less mean because it will hurt feewings.















  • I’m not convinced that shrinking population is at all an issue for a developed country that can replace workers with technology.

    OK, so why do other developed countries panic about shrinking and aging populations? Developed countries “solved” this issue by outsourcing low-skilled manual labor to China. But a population tree isn’t only about manufacturing, it’s also about caring for an aging population. Our growth-based economic systems are quite vulnerable to this.

    China is already one if the most automated countries in the world and currently running the biggest infrastructure investments ever.

    There’s no precedence for infrastructure investments to resolve loss of workers on the scale that China is facing. Infrastructure also needs to be maintained by people. There’s also an unprecedented potential for a real-estate crisis, considering the devaluation of housing if more and more becomes uninhabited.

    I think if anyone can handle population reduction it’s probably China.

    Sure, they just have to achieve like 2-3 unprecedented things that also come with unprecedented consequences, etc. These responses feel like being dismissive for sake of being dismissive. My point remains: the Western powers (and russia) are dealing with precedented, or at least predicted issues, many accelerated by aging despots. China has been winning putin’s war, so time serves their purposes etc, but their hegemony isn’t guaranteed either.



  • CCP will have no trouble of succeeding Xi as it’s a single party system.

    The farther term limits are in the past the harder it will be.

    The population issue is heavily overblown

    I’d say it’s quite the opposite. Based on conversations with people who grew up in the one-child system and considering that one of the key elements of raising quality of life was reduction of births and spending more resources on these fewer kids, that are often traditionally raised by grandparents in their early years while parents are being economically productive. So people would have to compromise their present comfort to some extent to boost births. I’ve not seen a single nation in the world that succeeded in persistently raising births through pronatalist policy.

    I’m not saying that this will be China’s end, but realistically they have to either lower quality of life for the populace and/or really switch away from cheap manual labor as their primary model towards more automation etc.

    …China basically has to do nothing to win geopolitica these days.

    I totally agree with this part.