a decision to invade is more likely going to be driven by ideological motives.
This is spot on. I’ve spent a decent bit of time in China for work and became good friends with one lad there. Over more than a few beers one night Taiwan came up and we had a friendly bet about whether China would invade within 5 years (this was just before COVID so I’ve won and free beers are coming my way).
Anyway long story short, his view was roughly: that’s China and you bet your bollix we’re going to take it by force.
I’d bet more beers his view is a majority but it’s hard to tell because Chinese folks do not like discussing politics in general.
This is spot on. I’ve spent a decent bit of time in China for work and became good friends with one lad there. Over more than a few beers one night Taiwan came up and we had a friendly bet about whether China would invade within 5 years (this was just before COVID so I’ve won and free beers are coming my way).
Anyway long story short, his view was roughly: that’s China and you bet your bollix we’re going to take it by force.
I’d bet more beers his view is a majority but it’s hard to tell because Chinese folks do not like discussing politics in general.