Orban used public Hungarian companies to fund GOP/Trump campaigns. A trait of demonized European parties is that they oppose US and NATO.

1.2" by 2100 with no acceleration from global warming

That is 0.3mm per year. Current annual sea rise is 4.5mm.

The danger of twaites is sudden collapse/detachment, giving an immediate 2 foot rise. Mostly global sea rise from other sources is what can raise melt from glacier, and accelerate its time of detachment.

For the first time in satellite history, 2022 to 2025 was 4 consecutive sub 2.5m km² antarctic sea ice extents, and were closer to 2m km² , 2026 was still below 2.6m km² . Until now, global warming has not caused visible downtrends in Antarctic sea ice. year to year variation was in a narrow range with no noticeable trend.

Twaites is a region that is subject regularly to blue water events every year. A trend for Antarctic that leads to longer and wider blue water areas on coastal lines is also a recipe for warmer water to interact with Twaites. Returning every year will accelerate the “doomsday glacier” event, in addition to exposing other regional glaciers who, previously to last 5 years, did not get consecutive blue water erosion, which meant recovery years/periods.

Talking about Twaites as though, “if things stay the same, an insignificant number may double” is not the right way to be concerned about Twaites.

I don’t think it can substantially reduce diesel prices prior to midterm unless it encourages US refineries to go even harder as if $6+ diesel retail wasn’t already enough for them to go full out. You’re right that diesel export capacity for Russia will take a while to rebuild.

Just like he’s been claiming the Iran war will end right after the midterms

There’s 2 general possibilities for “ending” Iran war after rather than, with bonus points for elections, prior to midterms.

1. Respectful sincere peace with Iran, all the while declaring victory as US forces leave. This raises questions about just how victorious the US is. The reason this path can’t be chosen before midterms is “Iran failure/impotence” is neither a good look, nor a reason to vote for the diaper licker candidates.

2. War escalation under theory that this will force Iran to beg to surrender. “end of war” prediction comes from more probable war until 2028 election…

I doubt US establishment is capable of peace with Iran, and so option 2 is only desired path. Still there are 2 huge obstacles.

1. Democrats sweep both houses in midterms. War powers, and war budget not passed. Impeachment in the air.

2. even if GOP rigs a win, a $700B military budget increase will have bond markets revolt harder. Global economic collapse is already teethering. There is no war path, or pretense of super power status, that ends well for US/global economy.

Pressures to end the war (just leave with big victory speech) are inescapable. Fucking it up hasn’t stopped US before.

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This starts in November, and not a midterm saver. Unless US is able to significantly restrain Ukrainian attacks on refineries, oil instead of diesel is what will get exported more. The reason for US to do this is that they know oil prices will collapse the global economy based on their November military plans for Iran.

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Yes. They have banned exports. While sanctions lift is dressed up as diesel for us, its actually all energy sanctions relief to all.

Meaningless unless US stops supporting satellitte targeting assistance to Ukraine.

Everyone here seems so enthusiastic about having a proxy war on Russia. You gain zero, and next Russian leader won’t be so patient with you.

It’s a stretch, as it is based on resentment among genocidal supporters for ultra orthodox faction not joining IDF. Though, afaiu, they are part of settler violence/theft, and no genocidal faction resents the settler actions, or sides with international condemnation of IDF/settler genocide/theft.

begs

He has ordered colonies to withdraw from their diesel reserves under threat of cutting off their diesel imports. The colonial slaves are being forced to not maintain reserves as the US is telegraphing making a global financial crisis worse and permanent. The US brags about their economic success during this collapse by saying they have destroyed the rest of the world far worse than they are destroying the US.

Colonial slaves are not critical of illegal Iran war for Israel, and are not demanding the removal of the US from NATO, or end to war.

WSJ/US press repeating them, are pretending that 90% of prewar transit has occurred this one time at band camp. If it were true, China would be buying it and getting massive refining profits from exports. Iran has hit over 7 ships in last 2 weeks attempting to transit without its permission. Even if they were getting out some oil, region needs ships to go back into SoH.

Israel had to stop bombing Lebanon.

It’s a mistake for Iran to ask for that as part of deal, because US/Trump do not have direct authority over Israel. Iran has no direct authority over Hezbolah, Hamas, or Al Ansaralah, and its too big of an ask to force US and Israel to become enemies over that element of the deal. Israel only cares about destroying Iran at whatever costs to US/world it entails, so that there is no longer any opposition to greater Israel future conquest plans, and it just sets them up to veto any negotiated deal.

The first ceasefire deal included the US handing Iran $300 billion

The $300B was investments/reconstruction in Iran offered by GCC states.

I don’t really like it. Complains about the cost of defending a Europe he hates. Spends/Builds bases in missile/aircraft range to be closer to attack Europe but defended by isolation and no armies nearby.

US is incapable of peace with Iran. The only outcome will be US just leaving, as donald the brave victory retreat. Iran doen’t have a BeM demand. It has an Al Ansarah (Yemen) sanctions lifting demand, and cash upfront for any deal.

This seems to score well on benchmarks. Better than any previous “open blueprint release”. While an exact ordered blueprint on static data provides reproducibility, it’s not obvious that a different ordering, or more recent versions of webpages/github repos would produce inferior results. I don’t really see a huge area of study available from the blueprint, though other labs may find areas of improvement/inspiration in their approaches.

This is 3rd or 4th time of making the threat. Hegseth is also making mission accomplished speeches, and saying SoH should be Europe’s problem. Latter is not serious because its not his job to ask for help, but it would be way less serious if nukes were flying by the time Europe got there. I think this is all more of an end of war (withdrawal) preparation, than the 4th time being the one where the most psycho part of the brain wins.

It’s very unstable, for the totally stable genius, to essentially justify annihilation with the schizophrenia of “Am I crazy enough, punk, Am I?” vs “Mission accomplished for 6 months already. We’ll just leave, but only after the midterms because we need to talk about something other than mission accomplished”

Always depressing to see so many supporting your demonic fiction. That debate aside, point is Trump doesn’t need to ask Zelensky for anything. He just needs to stop US military/GPS support operations. So this is yet another distraction from the 100 other distractions focusing away from failures. But also, that Trump supports his oligarch donors profits from high oil/diesel prices.

He should tell US military apparatus to stop assisting Ukraine with targeting. It’s all US controlled satellites that permit all Ukrainian terror strikes.

He didn’t say he would tax oil companies to pay for it. Tariffs collected were much lower than $1.6T it would cost. Something they are avoiding until after mid terms is huge military budget increases to pay for Iran war, and catch up on munition production rates. I’m all for freedom dividends, but they need to be funded by tax revenue, and spending cuts.