fr this is worse than toilet paper roll math

there are 199 seats and so 2/3 supermajority is 133 seats. tisza has 136 now at 60%ish polling stations counted

at 45% polling stations (?) in, Tisza has 135 seats, which is more than supermajority, and results from bigger cities where opposition has greater support still are not yet counted. if mi hazank drops under 5% threshold, their lead will be greater. lowkey expecting that orban is looking for plane tickets to moscow rn

update: at 72% stations in, Tisza has 138 seats

no, it’s jammed by iranian jammer https://priyom.org/number-stations/other/v32

i bet they have some preferences about contractor

and i told you before that it’s officers (pilots are generally officers) that will be doing aerial bombing, and because large force on ground is prerequisite for situations you’re describing, it’s not going to happen

i think this one was purest form of it to date https://www.404media.co/inside-the-world-of-tiktok-spammers-and-the-ai-tools-that-enable-them/

according to his own claim, and he’s selling his super secret methods. he might be just making shit up

i mean that saudis were somewhat restrained about airstrikes, at least publicly, but this action would cause them to not be so. even if they tried, there are extra air defences dragged to saudi for exactly this purpose; every cargo flight and every extra warship makes odds worse for iran, as more missiles would be intercepted, but even if nobody dies, shooting missiles would have diplomatic consequences. another action that would result in rising oil prices would be iran shooting ships in strait of hormuz, but this would also close access to their own single large oil terminal, and there are american warships nearby anyway, so it’s perhaps unwise decision to make today

at this point, i think that decision to strike already has been made, and they’re just stalling so that more metal can come from across the atlantic. dragging an aircraft carrier out there is not done for no reason, and the second one they want to put out there would need to have some of pre-deployment training shortened and done on the way, which is unusual and avoided because there were accidents that this training was supposed to mitigate

we’ll see in a month tops

i don’t think it would go the way you think it would go

right, let’s see… they propped up unpopular (some 70% iranians oppose islamic republic rule, source), authoritarian, religious minority rule (only 32% iranians reported to be shia in 2020 survey, so before 2022 protests, it might be even less today), that was in a constant state of crisis and when president nho dinh diem got couped and killed, people danced on the streets (iranians burned down mosques and statue of soleimani during january protests). yeah, maybe iran is like vietnam after all, to be more specific like south vietnam during buddhist crisis

i don’t think that regular iranian population, that protested every year in almost decade and these protests were all met with crackdowns, mostly deadly, would like to see islamic republic rule to continue. neither i have heard anything about ground invasion, so all you’ve got out there is couple of pilots (officers) in the air and some more on ships

except irgc and friends, nobody’s sticking out their neck for theocracy and ayatollah, definitely not majority of iranian population (survey from 2024, and this is before irgc did 4 srebrenicas), and i’m not even sure about allegiances of regular military (artesh, not irgc. i heard that irgc disarmed artesh just before january crackdown, not very sure about it). let alone handful of pilots and marine officers that would conduct bombardment

have you? vietnam was backed by soviet union and china when these states were at peak performance, and north vietnamese government was genuinely popular. iran today is not it, who’s gonna stand up for them, fucking north korea? mullah’s regime doesn’t seem to be popular either https://gamaan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/GAMAAN-Iran-Religion-Survey-2020-English.pdf also iranian air defences were already shown to be unable of touching american aircraft last year, and nobody’s talking about ground invasion

They could state it’s Saudi right in the title

it’s easier for dear leader to blame americans for any and all problems (not an exaggeration, first example i found https://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2009/11/02/Irans-IRGC-blames-US-for-problems/32571257206055/ it was stated on iranian state media verbatim recently, i’ll add it when i find it) than to accept responsibility for their oppression, corruption and inefficient governance.

yeah mate nixon personally descended from heli to brainwash khomeini into making basij a thing. every irgc grifter is a mossad agent actually. i bet that cia shat their pants too

i guess they just found some spare attention to give for people whose every fifth sentence is “death to america”

americans export oil it’s not 70s anymore

Fuck this clickbait title. It’s no secret that no tears will be shed in Riyadh if something would happen to islamic republic leadership, and Saudis made this known recently https://www.axios.com/2026/01/31/saudi-us-strike-iran-kbs-trump

if you believed that “no saudi land or airspace will be used to attack Iran” was genuine i have a brigde to sell you

Yes. You would get tracked by your phone

this is just a really extravagant heater, physics forbids antenna this small to have good radiation resistance. for your contrived below noise communications scheme, you need more bandwidth that is physically possible on hf, yet you choose antenna design that is even less wideband than regular dipole. 40m of wire is for 80m band, which is usable more often in this configuration, ignoring everything else

As for throughput: a channel that is 9 KHz wide is supposed to transfer 9.6 kbit / s

5500kbps in extremely favourable conditions is your peak attainable speed, bandwiths in normal radios are narrower

A reasonable detection avoidance technique might be broadcasting from a depressed location or an urban canyon with tall ground clutter

if you don’t want anyone to hear you

launch your guerilla transmitter on a free flight balloon, and will have plentiful line of sight.

with what power source? better study for and get your license, start using radio and stop embarrassing yourself