The Russian economy will collapse, sooner or later.

I agree, but think it’s later. Russia needs to lose on the battlefield as well before they stop the war.

HIV denialism

Because of widespread use PREP/PEP, there’s a growing number of people who stopped using any protection including the aforementioned meds…

Exactly, it can go bat -> livestock/pet -> human just as well.

For your next psychedelic trip, think about your gut microbiome.

Russia has been steadily and slowly gaining territory over the last year.

If the Russia had to switch to defending territory without gaining anything more, how would it push for a victory before its economy collapsing?

The current attempt is Trump. It’s doubtful the Russian economy will collapse any time soon. They still have some slack and the Russian population could suffer far more. Their strategy after the first couple of months was to outlast Ukraine and its supporters. The moaning about costs in the countries supporting Ukraine is only growing. Russia has a firm lid on all opposition.

Nobody is doing the same for the Russia

China

Kazachstan

They only recently deployed soldiers in the capital there.

John Mearsheimer

is not the be all end all of geopolitics. His “realist” perspective is limited and he has often been wrong, including regarding Ukraine.

https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/abs/power-of-power-politics/mearsheimers-multipolar-myths-and-the-false-promise-of-realist-policy-prescriptions-the-empirical-inaccuracy-of-the-realist-paradigm/AEDB8F3F56FD2D5048E79FD8332A5DAE

Maersheimer is also an apologist for imperialism.

who foresaw this war coming ten years ago

The war started when Russia took Crimea in 2014, that’s 11 years ago. Georgia was invaded in 2008.

MItt Romney warned of Russian agression back in 2012.

Dugin’s Foundation of Geopolitics was published in 1997 and outlined how Russia could regain its lost empire.

This is likely against the rules of most instances and could get you banned.

Any type of grass or non poisonous vegetation works.

Not so easy during winter.

You can’t just leave them grazing wherever. Mines and artillery kill them just as well.

Some fodder will need to be brought in for them.

Mules are used in many militaries by the mountain troops. Only they can navigate small trails high up and transport cargo.

Start doing something about it, please.

In the 1990s, the US would have been glad if the Europeans would have managed the Yugoslav disintegration and ensuing wars with ethnic cleansing themselves. They were unable and had to rely on the US in Bosnia and Kosovo.

That only means they will have to scale back offensive operations and switch to a defensive posture.

How manu are is still left of well trained VDV and guards units?

He is okay and mostly factual. The tactical and operational analysis is good. However he has been wrong in the past, especially with his strategic interpretations and long term predictions.

The status quo favors Russia. If we don’t get our heads out of our asses and step up Russia will win

That has been his refrain from the beginning. Yet Ukraine is still very much in the fight.

The we is also kind of ironic since Austria doesn’t send any arms to Ukraine. The Austrian government and intelligence services as notoriously influenced by Russia. So take that in mind as well.

GDP can increase during a war, but that’s not as beneficial as growth during peace. After all the military equipment produced doesn’t last long or provides much long term value to the economy. A civilian truck, excavator, or train locomotive can create more value for an economy for decades. A trank or artillery piece will only last for a few months during war and only causes destruction, no creation. So yeah, nominally the economy might increase, but all that labor might be for nothing in the end.

It has been very impressive how Russia transformed its economy and circumvented sanctions. Production of military equipment is high and still increasing in parts. Goods for domestic consumption are also doing okay and standard of living hasn’t fallen much.

Of course none of this is sustainable and has only been achievable by all kinds of tricks, but for now it works.

Zelensky is a media and communication master.

Trump has achieved a ceasefire in Gaza. Some Palestinians are celebrating it as a victory.

Trump has delivered a ceasefire that was always clamored for.

Trump actually delivered a ceasefire.