Victim of Communism

  • 39 Posts
  • 1.13K Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • This sounds like the VC money is running out

    Nah. It sounds like they’re in the dump phase of the pump-and-dump.

    And just like Uber, you’ll now have to pay a premium to use their service when it finally works.

    But Uber still isn’t any more expensive than contemporary taxi rides (which were already exorbitant thanks to municipal cartelization and bad urban planning). These AI services aren’t a problem as a function of cost (OpenAI and Anthropic are still both giant pits of burning cash) they’re a problem as a function of… function. Like, every agent still needs a professional babysitter or three. The tech debt these features generate often outstrip their real business value. And the tail risks are enormous.

    I hail an Uber, I get in the vehicle, I ride to my destination, I pay the fee. That’s no different than a taxi service in any meaningful sense save the interface.

    I install an AI agent, I issue a command, <???>, uh… profit? Apparently I can now cancel my Sales Force subscription because now I’ve got eighteen thousand automagically generated Power BI reports blowing up my email using info from databases that got organically spun up on my Amazon account to do god even knows what? Hooray! Optimized!












  • I dunno how the Japanese and Koreans will do

    They’re equally freaked out, as they’ve been lashed to the same Wall Street piloted sinking ship as the rest of the US periphery. If you check out the politics in Japan and Korea over the last fifteen years, its been on a reactionary bent of increasing domestic militarization amid a continuous “Why aren’t our naturally superior native peoples making more babies?!” eugenics freak-out.

    You can throw in The Philippines, Taiwan, India, and Australia while you’re at it. None of these countries seem to have a serious long term plan for their economic futures. Everything revolves around “containment” of the Chinese super-economy, even as individual plutocrats demand carve outs for their own supply lines and revenue streams.







  • Which one of these two do we think is going to run out first?

    Setting aside that this is largely wartime propaganda horseshit - both militaries are relying on conscripts and mercenaries, both are heavily invested in cheap long-range drone artillery, both are saturated in “Victory is just around the corner” propaganda which has degraded support for their civilian leadership - Russia has 5x the population of Ukraine. If this really is just a Bodies-In-Spaces conflict, the Russians can drown Ukraine in their own blood over a long enough timeline. Ukrainians still need someone to fire those bombs and bullets, ideally before Kiev looks like Tehran.

    But then nobody is “winning” this war in a material sense. Putin is shedding what political allies he has as the war drags on - Romania, Hungary, Turkiye, Syria. Zelensky is fully fucked the next time Ukrainians bother to have a domestic vote. Both of their economies have tanked, with further economic pressures coming from the conflict with Iran and the climate change threat.

    The issue isn’t whether one runs out first. It’s how long the political leadership can drag this forward before someone pops them and brokers a settlement that ends the bleeding. Netanyahu is in a similar position in Israel, with endless war being the only excuse he has to stay in office. And domestic revolt might be what brings all these governments down long before the actual wars are ended.