But the news papers don’t go and klick a button in e.g. kalshi. Someone/something has to collect the news sources and change the state of the bet to ‘resolved’. Either a human arbitrator, or some consensus vote by users or something like that? And that would already be very problematic, like what’s to stop the arbitrator from deciding in their friends favor?
But why would anyone buy shares after an event resolved? You’d expect liquidity to dry up at that point. So i can’t imagine that this is how it’s ultimately resolved and you get paid out.
How does calling the bets on those platforms actually work? Is it employees that need to decide which outcome happened? And can anyone make a bet? If so, how do they keep up with all the bets and even just knowing that a bet is ready to be called?
[edit]
ok, i decided to research this myself (so much for the wisdom of crowds).
some platforms have an admin pick what option was the outcome.
And some have a board of traders that vote on what the outcome was(maybe with votes weighted by how many shares of some token they own…)
so yeah, some admin on the platform or a few users are the ultimate arbitrer of truth, which sounds stupid to me. Especially since any ambiguity of the wording of the bet is up to them to figure out.
this page had nice examples of kalshi and polymarket resolution ‘failing’. Was also not surprised that polymarket uses crypto for resolution, of course there’s crypto involved in this somehow… it really fits the online gambling theme
I tiought it was ice age in north europe and heat waves and hurricanes in north america, it carries hot water up north and cold water from the poles down the american east coast.
Venta LW45 humidifier. easy to clean, uses like 8W/hour (compared to ~40 for ultrasonic or 300 for electric heating ones), quiet, goes through a 9l tank per day easily. And has almost no part that could break i.e. i could replace whatever could break easily.
but the price is insane for what amounts to a bucket with a fan
I wanted to punch someone when i realized my Bosch drill and Bosch electric saw use different batteries. They’re identical in size, but the plug part on one is a mirror image of the other and so not interchangeable
I think we’re more civilized nowadays. I’d be content with reintroducing the pillory. Especially the ‘In addition to being jeered and mocked, the criminal might be pelted with rotten food, mud, offal, dead animals, and animal excrement’ part.
Seriously though, hanging seems too quick/easy and I’m pretty sure public humiliation is a worse punishment for self important narcissistic fucks.
I think they also need to come up with a better term than ‘western countries’, to something that does not include the US but is open to include others. ‘Countries that try to not be complete asshats’? Idk, the bar is in hell. But there are quite a few non-western countries that could fit the bill if it weren’t for US fuckery.
oh, definitely, and I’m not saying that they’re doing good or anything like that. I mean, the profits for investments have to come out of someone pockets. I’m just saying it’s a bit like having a parasite where removal might kill the host if not done carefully, not a free lunch where you just tax them and everyone lived happily ever after. They had a long time to embed themselves in all kinds of systems, and them not paying taxes is kinda built into the expectations of those systems.
yes, though to be fair, it’s not like this is just sitting in their bank account doing nothing. It’s mostly invested somewhere doing stuff to make them richer. So if they were taxed at a fair rate, idk, 90% or so, that would mean less investment, which in turn does help companies grow and pay salaries, R&D etc. They don’t send a trillion to a scrooge mcduck bunker on the cayman islands, they create shell companies there that own their stock etc. for them. They could not pay this tax since they just wouldn’t have the cash to pay x% of 3.5T. Which would either force them to sell stock to pay tax, potentially tanking the stocks value, or pay the tax directly in stock, making their holdings more government owned over time.
As a socialist, I’m fine with either tbh. just saying this is not cash floating around that can just be spent to tackle humanities problems, if only it was just taxed properly.
I feel Authentik is at the sweet spot between complexity/features (keycloak) and ease of setup (authelia)
Not a democrat or even american, so 🤷
That’s not what I’m saying, OP asked an LLM for a legal opinion on what democrats could do. LLMs are terrible at legal questions/opinions. Of the things it says, if they were true and made legal sense, none of it would stop the current war any time soon, it’s stuff that would take years to figure out, by which time this likely has blown over for the next crisis.
By all means, prosecute the fucker and his administration for everything and try and make his life hell. But asking an LLM for a legal opinion on what democrats could do seems like top grade cope/virtue signaling so someone can feel better going “see, there’s all these things they can do, but they don’t, so they’re in on it and bad”. when there’s enough valid reasons to think that about democrats without falling back on slop and there’s no shortage of valid criticism, nor valid actions they could take.
What is this LLM slop?
Half the stuff Trump wouldn’t care about, the other half would not really affect any current military operation. Plus most of it he’d just ignore like he did most other things, e.g. tarifs are illegal, welp, let me just use some other law to justify tarifs
How has china not been able to make it work? Or do you mean hardware specifically? Because with Google and Meta stuff banned, among others, I’d say they’ve gotten pretty far
Afaik to poison AI data.
Of course if it’s only them doing it, it will be too little data to affect AI training. And if enough people do the same to affect the training, it’d just be the way we talk now and AI wouldn’t be affected either. So it’s pretty pointless, but with bad externalities (being annoying), much like AI…
Parent comment is also wrong, and as usual things are much more complicated than made out to be. E.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Country_on_Each_Side plus China essentially pressuring Taiwan into adhering to the status quo so as to not lose its casus belli.
A big issue is that this works for bots that announce themselves as such, but there’s lots that pretend to be regular users, with fake user agents and ips selected from a random pool with each ip only sending like 1-3 request/day, but overall many thousands of requests. In my experience a lot of them are from huawei and tencent cloud/ASN
it’s iocaine not Locaine, tripped me up at first as well.
What you said is like “i’m going to delete linux and install ubuntu”, but then there’s not really a name for the android that comes with your phone. “stock android” probably is the closest term you get to distinguish between the OS family and the thing actually installed, but all the companies customize their android, so it’s not like there’s just one “stock android”.
i mean, I’m sure samsung has some term for their android, but i doubt anyone use this outside of samsung.
Yes but my whole question was about how a bet resolves, who decides it is resolved and who decides what the true outcome was. So i assumed your answer was to that question, which it didn’t seem to answer.
See the edit in my original post.