If it’s the farmers acting on their own, simple enough, I’m wrong. No issues with that.
If they were receiving support from the Russians (encouragement, incitement, materials, methods, etc.) or there was more direct involvement, the goal may be destruction and disruption as punishment for the ongoing support of Ukraine’s defense. It’s part of the Budget Day agenda so that may be their motivation. Being able to plausibly point the finger in other directions reduces the risk of consequences even if there’s a reason to suspect that they had something to do with it. Uncertainty in the immediate aftermath could buy time for their people to get out or hide while police are looking at the farmers and then they can drop hints without explicitly claiming responsibility.
My usual assumption is that anything I can think of is already in a Kremlin memo with pros and cons scribbled in the margins. Doesn’t make it true but it means I’m not surprised as often.
If it’s the farmers acting on their own, simple enough, I’m wrong. No issues with that.
If they were receiving support from the Russians (encouragement, incitement, materials, methods, etc.) or there was more direct involvement, the goal may be destruction and disruption as punishment for the ongoing support of Ukraine’s defense. It’s part of the Budget Day agenda so that may be their motivation. Being able to plausibly point the finger in other directions reduces the risk of consequences even if there’s a reason to suspect that they had something to do with it. Uncertainty in the immediate aftermath could buy time for their people to get out or hide while police are looking at the farmers and then they can drop hints without explicitly claiming responsibility.
My usual assumption is that anything I can think of is already in a Kremlin memo with pros and cons scribbled in the margins. Doesn’t make it true but it means I’m not surprised as often.