According to a Wall Street Journal report citing US intelligence, Russia could be preparing a limited incursion against a NATO member state within weeks. The report comes as the war in Ukraine remains largely deadlocked and the impact of the conflict is increasingly felt inside Russia.
Analysts cited in the report suggest Vladimir Putin may seek to open a new front rather than risk being remembered as the leader who lost Ukraine, raising fresh questions about NATO’s readiness and resolve.
That makes a lot more sense. May test NATO with limited incursion. I think it would be a very bad idea though for Putin to try this. He has already ground his military down to the nub and has not been able to ramp up Russia’s war machine.
The last thing he needs is to turn more against his cause which would likely end up giving Ukraine more resources to fight. I do worry that by drawing in his allies (North Korea, China, USA) that it could change the situation for the worse and get WWIII going more than it already is.